Thursday, April 19, 2007

Analytical Framework

This is the analytical framework used for Project Australia and other studies since then. If we decide to look at the L22 scans and analyze them, we will be looking to see examples of adaptive and maladaptive scenarios and then compare and contrast these across the scans.

It seems to me that we have a new generation gap. People in their real 60's seem to track mostly maladaptations and particularly those of the elite whereas the gen x'ers in our midst track mostly the ideals as they emerge. Their vote is to ignore problems and get on with creating the world they imagine. Just do it.
For the older generation there may be a lasting memory of their youth movement of the 60's which was essentially anti-establishment. And to some extent they still are anti-something. There is however a wisdom, a knowing from within experience how easily visions, dreams and lot of good work can be co-opted.
Our strength and challenge (should we choose to accept it) is to bring these two persepectives together to get an accurate picture of the ideals and the maladaptations in our current environments.




5 comments:

Gerardo Sierra said...

I agree Don there seems to be that distinction between the 60's generation and the X one. I wonder where the next generation is standing or aiming to stand at? They haven't made their voice heard in North American elections as still their presence in the ballots is minimal. However, in other places (i.e. France) their voice is speaking loudly. We just need to follow the events of the summer 05, the demos against youth employment policies and now the election.

In this line of the election I think I grasp what is going on in the other places. Once again an virtual tide between the left and right. My assumption is that young voters are playing a significant role as they did in Mexico. My question is how are this demographics voting? Are they clearly divided between right or left? or are they the ones behind the emergence of the left? In the case of Latin America I should say there is still a growing pyramid. So the young are outnumbering the baby boomers. Has that made a difference?

Practitioner said...

Re: Possible Scenarios chart. I am concentrating on the distinctions between Soc Eng & Syn Ide.

It looks to me like 60ers are more oriented to Probable Future and X-ceteras to Desirable.

Am interested in Marc's comment that "young people have a struggle with strategic planning". Sound familiar...I did.

Am re-examining FE's 3V's + The Fifth Wave.
[Have you seen it Gerardo?]
Especially the parts about Revolution from within/without and consolidation.

-Chris

blogging is hell for non-typists... focuses the mind

Practitioner said...

Don,
I add this link www.alternet.org/story/51088
with this comment: Paul Hawken's
summary made me think that the various "Gens" in question are culturally long rooted in these traditions and consciously or unconsciously oriented away from problems and toward Desirable Future undertakings.
-Chris

serge543 said...

I read the article and the only thing that came to my mind is segmentation, segmentation, segmentation.

Don de Guerre said...

I don't think there are any statistically significant demographic differences in ideal seeking behaviour in our personality and social change research.

More likely the differences are an expression of how the ideals are pursued.

It would appear that people are not dissociated, not superficial, and not evangelistic. Segmented perhaps, but with an acceptance of that segmentation and with some awareness of each other if only through the internet.

We do know that there are more yogi's (subjective introverts) around today. So one might question if what Hawken is talking about is this behavioural preference's ideal seeking behaviour?

A common injunction today is to think globally and act locally. People seem to be taking local action where they can. Flying below the radar screen or ignoring authority (elites) that seem to be on a different track and increasingly irrelevant. Or is that just an avoidance?

I think it is about time for the 6th Kondratiev wave which will likely have to do with the end of the fossil fuel age and massive adaptation that will entail. We have found no new cheap energy to fuel the economy as it currently exists, so it is quite possible that what Hawken is talking about is a version of 'small is beautiful' and that this is going to turn out to be the adaptive scenario.